Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Two Minutes Of Thunder Basketball Wins The Game

Manchester City 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur, Match Analysis: This Game Was Weird

Photo

As I sit here writing this, I have had the benefit of some time off. The reactions immediately after this match were...disturbing. I'm not sure how I feel about some of the things that were said in the match thread yesterday and hopefully, given the advantage of hindsight, some of you are a little ashamed of the things you said. I know I am.

Now that the catharsis is out of the way it;s time to take a much more objective look at the match. As I mentioned last week you won't get anything about what might have been had the officiating been different from me. That's totally irrelevant to these statistics and this analysis. What you will see is that, this game was pretty exciting, at least in the second half.

On to the analysis.

Star-divide

Formation

Powered by Tableau

Figure 1: Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur formations, 1/22/12. Data: Guardian Chalkboards. Powered by Tableau.

What's the first thing you notice about the formations here? The first thing I notice, something that we hadn't seen in games past is that Tottenham Hotspur got pinned back pretty deep. Ledley King and Younes Kaboul played much deeper, primarily due to the fact that City simply had the ball in the Tottenham half more than teams did in the past few games. City's attack minded midfielders also account for Scott Parker, Benoit Assou-Ekotto and Kyle Walker all playing much deeper than they have in the past. Even Rafael van der Vaart found himself sucked into a deeper role than he is perhaps comfortable playing.

To counteract this, Aaron Lennon, Gareth Bale, and Jermain Defoe each pushed a little higher up the pitch. You can see that it seemed like much of Tottenham's attackers got sucked to the left side of the pitch, with really only Lennnon operating on the right. This makes the formation look odd and unbalanced when seen next to that of Manchester City.

The major disappointment was how little impact Tottenham's center backs had on the game. Their passing was very good, but neither made a tackle and each had only one interception. This seems especially odd when one considers that City had the ball deep in Spurs territory on several occasions. King of course made the high-profile error at the end of the match, but both he and Kaboul were largely anonymous in defense for most of the game. The real key to the Tottenham defense was Scott Parker. Despite an off day passing the ball, the midfielder broke up play well and helped put a damper on the potent Manchester City attack. You could, perhaps, place some blame on him for the Lescott goal, but I don't believe he was Lescott's original marker so I hesitate to do so.

Say what you want about Roberto Mancini, but, when it comes to tactics, his players no what they're doing. Mancini's system is much more rigid than Harry Redknapp's just run about philosophy. Despite dominating possesion, Gareth Barry and James Milner both occupied deep-lying holding roles in the midfield and they played those positions perfectly. The gap between the holding players and attackers looks, on this layout, a bit large, but with no one on either side really occupying that space it never became an issue.

Up front City's attacking four played fairly close to the middle. Samir Nasri and David Silva both like to cut in from the flanks and where very effective doing so. Those two "wingers" both put in man of the match quality performances for Manchester City. Nasri has gotten a lot of stick lately, but for some reason, he always seems to step his game up against Spurs. As far as Silva goes, it's been said by Kevin before, and I'll echo the sentiment, he really is the best player in the world that doesn't play for Real Madrid or Barcelona. The third attacking "midfielder" in the formation, Sergio Aguero, played in as a sort of trequartista behind Eden Dzeko's target striker. Aguero looked dangerous, and was probably the biggest threat to Spurs, despite the numbers here not reflecting it. Nothing is perfect I guess.

Passing

Figure 2:Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur passing, 1/22/12. Data: Guardian Chalkboards. Powered by Tableau.

So from this chart we can see that...uh...we can see...well, you see, what this shows is...this game was weird. The first half was really awful for both sides. Spurs often had more of the ball, made more passes, etc. but as we all know they didn't do much with it. It's weird to go back and look at this now because I distinctly recall feeling like we were on our heels to start the match and that City were really taking it to us. This would seem to refute that observation. The second half evened out a little more. Manchester City dominated play for the most part and they got three goals for their efforts.

In terms of individuals, the Citizens had the three top passers in terms of number of completions. Gareth Barry, David Silva, and Samir Nasri really bossed the game for them. For Tottenham Hotspur, Modric, Rafa, and Bale had the most passes. This is much better than previous weeks, when Kyle Walker was near the top in passes completed. It's always good to see your three best players heavily involved in the game, but I continue to worry about Aaron Lennon's lack of involvement. Lennon completed 19 of 21 attempts, but as one of Spurs main attacking threats 21 is not good enough. I understand that Lennon's game isn't to be a distributor, but he should have seen much more of the ball after Gael Clichy picked up an early card.

As you can see, the left sided players for both teams were heavily incolved in the game, much more so than their counterparts on the opposite flank. For further confirmation on this see the figure below. For Tottenham, this was simply a matter of attacking using your best player. Gareth Bale, who played mostly on the left, is very good and getting him the ball is a good thing. Additionally, Luka Modric tends to drift to the left when he is in possession. For City, it was partially due to the strength of the left sided players, but more than likely it was due to a perceived defensive weakness in the pairing of Lennon and Walker.

Awj25_medium

Figure 3: Attacking Direction for Manchester City (left) and Tottenham Hotspur (right) 1/22/12. Via Who Scored.

I don't think I can say that either Lennon or Walker did a bad job defensively. Neither were at fault for the second two goals and the opener from Nasri originated from the left side of the pitch. So, the defensive weakness that I was worried about didn't end up being an issue and I feel pretty comfortable saying that Walker didn't look like a liability in defense. He did make some careless plays with the ball at his feet and had a couple of silly turnovers, but his defending wasn't bad.

Conclusion

In the end this all paints a pretty odd picture. Neither team truly dominated. The second half was very open and back and forth. In the end I have to agree with Harry Redknapp and say that Spurs proved that they can play with anyone. Tottenham were not played out of the park, but they didn't really show enough to say that they deserved a victory. A draw would have been a much more fair result for both sides.

I'm not sure what this does to Spurs tittle chances, but I'm sure that it will be discussed ad nauseam on the site and in the press. 8 points is a pretty healthy gap, but not one that is insurmountable. I share Kevin's view, which many of you have voiced strong disagreement with, that I will be more than satisfied with third or second. Simply having guaranteed Champions League football next season will be amazing. I'm not advocating we give up on winning the whole thing, but let's not get our hopes up too much.

Regardless of what happens the rest of the way, Spurs proved to many people that they are in the same class as Manchester City. With time still left in the transfer window it will be interesting to see if the club acts in an attempt to really go for it or if they stand pat and hope for the best. I'm not holding my breath for any moves, but I do know that Tottenham have what it takes to hang with the big boys.


Comment 27 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Good analysis

This was a weird game. I too was pretty bothered by the knee-jerking yesterday. Hopefully we can right the ship and claim a few victories to get us some fresh momentum.

by COYS1979 on Jan 23, 2012 4:20 PM GMT reply actions  

Knee jerkers gonna jerk

LEDLEY KING SHOULD BE SENT TO THE GLUE FACTORY. JERMAIN DEFOE SHOULD BE PUT ON A RACK AND STRETCHED TIL HE’S TALLER. KYLE WALKER SHOULD BE FED TO RAVENOUS HAMSTERS.

by Lennon's Eyebrow on Jan 23, 2012 4:28 PM GMT reply actions   1 recs

Rec'd

Suns & Spurs (not San Antonio) fan.
twitter.com/williemcquaid

by Willman on Jan 23, 2012 5:29 PM GMT up reply actions  

Wonderful, Bryan. I agree it was great to see Luka so involved. We have gotten away from that honestly quite a bit this year.

by johnf34 on Jan 23, 2012 5:52 PM GMT reply actions  

As long as Luka is here

Then Champions League is more than enough from this season. That will put enough money in Levy’s control to go out and get a couple of more pieces, or maybe one really big one as well as up some salaries

www.TheDreamShake.com Co-Founder and Writer

by UofTOrange on Jan 23, 2012 6:38 PM GMT reply actions  

If Man U comes in for Luka in the summer for $50mil +

does he stay or go? That is, assuming we qualify for Champions League, let’s say we finish 3rd behind City and United. They decide Luka is their long-term replacement for Scholes. What happens?

Will Luka ask to leave? Will Levy let him? I’m sorry to say that I fear he is off regardless of our league finish. That will be a huge shame, as we will be at a severe disadvantage after losing him, and there is no way we could carry on a Champions League campaign and stay in top-4 when replacing arguably our best player.

by LanceAnderson on Jan 23, 2012 7:00 PM GMT reply actions  

For £50 million I would imagine Levy would let him leave.

That gives the club more than enough money to buy a replacement. Assume replacing Luka costs £20-£30 million and still have cash left to improve the squad. It would be hard to turn down such a stupid high offer.

Plus, the reason the £50 million figure is being thrown around is because it is believed that there will be a release clause for that amount in the new contract that Luka is believed to be discussing with the club. If that’s true we’d have to let him go.

Editor of SBNation's Tottenham Hotspur blog: Cartilage Free Captain

by Bryan Ashlock on Jan 23, 2012 7:07 PM GMT up reply actions  

I just

don’t think we can really replace him. I don’t think anyone else in the world would slot in and be as good or better. (At least right away) When I say anyone else in the world, I mean anyone else in the world who Tottenham could realistically sign. (ie, Mesut Ozil isn’t coming to Spurs)

by LanceAnderson on Jan 23, 2012 7:13 PM GMT up reply actions  

I don't think you try to get like for like

you try to do what you did with Modric in the first place and sign an up and comer. Obviously with that kind of money, you can sign someone further along than Luka was when we bought him.

Also, it seems like Ozil is less than happy at Madrid these days. And you know how we like to buy their scraps…

O's, Ravens, and Spurs
Author at FourFiveTwo

by Skipjack on Jan 23, 2012 7:15 PM GMT up reply actions  

I agree.

You take half that money and get a young talent (someone like Ganso) that will hopefully become the next Luka. And then spend the other half on one or two players to improve other positions (right mid/striker) that will help lessen the blow of losing Luka.

by Jellyfeast on Jan 23, 2012 7:22 PM GMT up reply actions  

Yep. Like Mateo Kovacic.

Who is showing every indication of developing into a player EVERY BIT as good as Luka.

(Full disclosure: I swooped him up in FM and he’s fantastic.)

Official Cartilage Free Captain Poet Laureate
General Secretary of the CFC Commentariat Committee
Tottenham Hotspur & Indiana Hoosiers

by Uncle Menno on Jan 23, 2012 9:13 PM GMT up reply actions  

I think someone may meet that clause

but I don’t think it’d be United. I know they threw a fair amount around last window, but I can’t see them throwing it all at one dude. I think that’d leave them without any cash for anything else.

Also, does that release clause kick in the day after the contract or is he obligated to play with us for at least a set period of time first?

O's, Ravens, and Spurs
Author at FourFiveTwo

by Skipjack on Jan 23, 2012 7:13 PM GMT up reply actions  

It just scares

the hell out of me to think about losing him. I don’t see how we could possibly compete by replacing him so suddenly.

by LanceAnderson on Jan 23, 2012 7:19 PM GMT up reply actions  

Obviously it hurts

Hopefully you’ve gotten someone in here who can take the time to adjust and be ready to step into the role with at least some capacity when he leaves. This is what I’m hoping vis a vis Scott Parker and Sandro for instance.

O's, Ravens, and Spurs
Author at FourFiveTwo

by Skipjack on Jan 23, 2012 7:26 PM GMT up reply actions  

I don’t think it’s possible to replace Modric right away, which is why I think the approach is figuring out how to cope without him until we can groom a replacement. I figure the new default formation becomes a 4-2-3-1 with Sandro and Parker in the two. Bale and VDV will be in the 3. Walker and BAE will be our full backs. Which means the only positions we have to work with are right mid, striker and full back (and goalie, but that’s another matter).

We will inevitably have trouble breaking teams down without Modric in midfield, which means hopefully some, if not all, of that £50 million will be spent on a right mid or striker that will bring more creativity to our attack.

by Jellyfeast on Jan 23, 2012 7:37 PM GMT up reply actions  

*meant “right mid, striker and center back”

by Jellyfeast on Jan 23, 2012 7:39 PM GMT up reply actions  

Walker was at fault for the 2nd goal

At least in IMO from watching the replay. I think he had Lescott and was ball watching when Robbie Savage, errr, Lescott made his run in.

Long time reader, first time poster. I still love Ledley regardless of yesterday, and he’s still better than John Terry! COYS!

by spursfan99 on Jan 23, 2012 7:10 PM GMT reply actions  

Yesterday was a rough day for Spurs

It was a terrible beat. We can always say “what if,” but like you said, it’s over and done with. I think what yesterday really exposed was our lack of height up front overall. You can’t realistically expect the goalkeeper to nail a perfect goal kick to a 5’7" dude against someone 6’+. I’d say look for more players that are 5’11’’ and up because they’re typically going to be more physical (unless your name is Crouch).

It’ll be interesting to see how the rest of this season plays out. I really don’t mind a second or third place finish at this point as I see that as a success; we shouldn’t be disappointed in our squad for their effort this season. Levy really needs to open that checkbook if for no other reason than to have insurance for when Modric leaves.

My thoughts are like Brian Cushing on the field: Everywhere.

by f22a4bandit on Jan 23, 2012 8:35 PM GMT reply actions  

Well said

I will be ecstatic with a 3rd place finish in all honesty. Going into this season I was just hoping we could somehow snatch 4th so to be realistically going for 3rd is pretty awesome.

Let’s not kid ourselves though: Chelsea is only 6 points back, and that is nothing over the course of the rest of the season. They could very easily pass us by, especially considering we have to go to their place yet. If that happens and Arsenal close the gap as well, I could see it getting very nervy towards the end of the season. I really hope it doesn’t come to that! My poor heart can’t handle it.

by LanceAnderson on Jan 23, 2012 8:48 PM GMT up reply actions  

I don't mean to rain on the parade here

Or be the ‘that City guy commenting on the Spurs blog’, but don’t forget that City were missing Kompany and Yaya too. Spurs played well for sure but this wasn’t City at full strength, so I’m not sure what it means in terms of City vs. Spurs in the ‘same department’ kind of thing. Good even game yesterday though.

Big players make big plays

by sonics097 on Jan 23, 2012 8:51 PM GMT reply actions  

Good point.

Yaya and Kompany would certainly have made a difference yesterday. (If anything, I can virtually guarantee Defoe’s goal wouldn’t have happened)

by LanceAnderson on Jan 23, 2012 8:53 PM GMT up reply actions  

Our loss of Adebayor isn’t quite up to your double loss but I thought your holding midfielders did a phenomenal job in covering for him.

by johnf34 on Jan 23, 2012 9:46 PM GMT up reply actions  

Still Too soon

//still bitter
/// watches http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D81TPbGjbR4
/// feels better

Tottenham Hotspurs, Penn State, and Winthrop are the only things that made me cry in my adult life.

by Tottenham Makes Me Cry on Jan 24, 2012 4:22 PM GMT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

This blog was originally going to be called "6000 to Nicholson" but the SB Nation Aston Villa peeps beat us to it.

FanPosts


Managers

Img00243_small Kevin McCauley

Editors

377011_2642084725867_1068030137_32302525_1166539782_n_small Ryan Rosenblatt

391013_329888187026312_100000154012738_1572874_398874847_n_small Brian Mechanick

N15922578_42337778_2622273_small Bryan Ashlock

Authors

274460_35500850_3690606_n_small theroosevelts

Selfportrait_small Nick Petrilli

Spookdealerdml_small Spooky23

284626_10150261592684198_510959197_7323853_7819384_n_small Edward_Francis

N834815030_1075224_7071_small The Sleeper's Sleep

Moderators

Spurs_small Uncle Menno